Basic Prerequisites: PFE and 03 · CVA & DVA.


1. Intuition & Practical Objective

There are exactly two ways to reduce counterparty exposure: netting (combine trades so opposite values cancel) and collateral (post margin against the current value). Both are powerful, and both are routinely over-estimated. This page builds the mitigation machinery and then the regulatory exposure formula - SA-CCR - that Basel uses when a bank cannot model exposure itself.

The core discipline:

  • Netting only works inside a legally enforceable netting set. Two offsetting trades with different counterparties produce two exposures, not zero.
  • Collateral never reaches zero exposure. The gap is the margin period of risk (MPoR) - the time from the last margin exchange to close-out after default (regulatory: 10 business days for bilateral non-cleared OTC, 5 days for cleared). During the MPoR the position moves unhedged and uncollateralised, and a large cash flow inside that window creates an exposure spike that margin does not cover.
  • SA-CCR is deliberately conservative. Its grosses exposure by 40%; industry studies found SA-CCR EAD runs at roughly 2.5× the internal-model (IMM) number overall, and an order of magnitude higher for well-margined books (ISDA-AFMR 2017).

The reported mitigation, in numbers. Below: netting cuts a two-trade portfolio’s average EPE from to (62%), and a zero-threshold CSA with a 10-day MPoR cuts a single forward’s EPE by 7.6× - not to zero. The residual is the MPoR.


2. Mathematical Ground Truth & Derivations

2.1 Netting

Close-out netting aggregates the values of all trades in a netting set into a single claim:

The net-to-gross ratio measures how much offsetting is captured:

Basel’s standardised initial-margin formula uses it to hand back only part of the benefit:

  • i.e. 60% of the current netting benefit is recognised for future exposure.

2.2 Collateral: the credit support amount

Let be the portfolio value, the counterparty threshold, the margin already held, and the independent amount. The receiving party’s margin call is (Gregory 7.2–7.3)

Threshold and MTA are additive ( must be breached before a call), and IM is the mathematical opposite of a threshold (a negative threshold). Exposure after collateral is the position valued with a look-back of one MPoR:

Two consequences the formula hides: (i) MTAs make margin path-dependent - the credit support balance at depends on history; (ii) collateral spikes - a settled cash flow is not netted against margin, so it creates an exposure lasting ~one MPoR.

2.3 SA-CCR - the regulatory exposure formula

The Basel standardised approach (BCBS 2014, paras 129–149) defines exposure at default as

with replacement cost for margined trades

and potential future exposure

  • = supervisory factor (one-year loss): IR 0.50%, FX 4.00%, credit single-name 0.38–6.00% by rating, equity single-name 32%, commodity 18% (electricity 40%).
  • = net independent collateral amount = collateral received less non-segregated collateral posted (segregated posted margin is bankruptcy-remote and ignored).
  • The multiplier recognises excess collateral: it falls toward the 5% floor as becomes more negative (out-of-the-money portfolios), but never reaches zero.
  • The VM horizon factor for margined PFE is , so a 10-day MPoR gives .

3. Computational Implementation - netting, collateral and SA-CCR

Simulate a two-trade portfolio, measure the netting benefit and the collateral benefit, then compute SA-CCR EAD for a 6-year interest-rate swap and the excess-collateral multiplier ladder. Standard library only.

Points to read: (i) netting captures 62% of the gross exposure but leaves of EPE - netting is neither free nor complete; (ii) a perfect zero-threshold CSA still leaves 13% of the uncollateralised EPE, because the 10-day MPoR is a real unhedged window; (iii) SA-CCR’s and the multiplier turn a $10m IR swap into an EAD of $362,854 unmargined / $108,856 margined - versus CEM’s $150,000 (Gregory §13.4.2, §13.5.1), which is why SA-CCR replaced CEM. (Note: Gregory’s worked text prints $249,182 for the product ; the arithmetic is 259,182, as the book itself uses two paragraphs later - a typo in the source.)


4. Failure Modes & First-Principles Breakdowns

  1. Netting mis-scoping. Applying netting across counterparties, legal entities, or margin agreements that do not share an enforceable master agreement overstates the benefit. SA-CCR forces netting sets to be split when more than one margin agreement applies (conservative).
  2. MPoR under-estimation. The MPoR is a model parameter, not a literal close-out time. It absorbs delayed default declaration, portfolio liquidation, disputes, and higher post-default volatility - doubling volatility is roughly equivalent to quadrupling the MPoR (Gregory §9.1.2). The regulatory floor is 10 days bilateral / 5 days cleared, but illiquid or hard-to-replace books require ≥20 days.
  3. Collateral spikes. A settled cash flow inside the MPoR is uncollateralised and not covered by variation margin, producing a transient exposure spike - a dominant residual EPE even under full initial margin (Gregory §7.3.6, §15.6.6).
  4. Wrong-way collateral. Posting one’s own bonds/equity as margin, or a cross-currency swap collateralised in one of the two currencies, makes the collateral itself correlated with the exposure - margin that evaporates exactly when it is needed (§17.6.6).
  5. Rating triggers & cliff-edge. Threshold linked to a credit rating means a downgrade can trigger a large margin call (AIG: $20bn on a downgrade); Basel gives no capital benefit for rating triggers and the LCR requires pre-funding of the outflows.
  6. SA-CCR is a floor, not a model. Using it as if it were risk-sensitive over-capitalises well-hedged books; two offsetting same-bucket swaps give zero EAD, while FX triangles (USD/EUR, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP) generate capital on all three legs (Gregory §13.5.1) - counter-intuitive artefacts of the asset-class bucketing.

5. References

  • Gregory, Jon: The xVA Challenge (5th ed., 2025)
  • BCBS (2014): The Standardised Approach for Measuring Counterparty Credit Risk Exposures (BIS d317)
  • Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives
  • BCBS-IOSCO (2015): Margin requirements for non-centrally cleared derivatives

6. Connected Graph Bridges